Friday, September 30, 2011

A bluff gone sour!

I believe Turkey is playing her last round at the Cyprus poker table. Cyprus, over the years, played her game well given the prevailing power balance. Today we sit on a UN ID, an EU membership, and a potential treasure. We have every reason to be cautiously optimistic. By July 1st 2012 all players will show their hand. Choosing sides means that they all have to state unequivocally their support for the RoC. The alternative means siding with Turkey. Extremely doubtful given the present power balance & Turkey's Islamic tendencies and flirting in all the wrong places.

Turkey has upped the ante by raising the Cyprus energy as a matter of national priority but her card truly sucks! Her tragedy is that everyone in the west knows it. And they are not about to share billions worth of energy independence for a "mildly" Islamic Turkey when by law she has no claim at all! 

Should Turkey respond militarily, well, no better time like the present, as we are in the company of friends who speak Turkey's language, war, fluently! But will she fire first? The Trojan horse is already in place. 15-16 million Kurds who will bring Turkey to its knees from the inside; Kurds to get their Kurdistan and perhaps even co-sharing of the rest of the country, us to get Cyprus, Russia likely to get a new more favorable Montreaux, and Greece to get a smaller, more manageable, more western neighbor, free of fascism!

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Turkey's Kurds & Cyprus' tCypriots

As either unitary state or federation solutions are discussed as replacements to Cyprus' 1960 and Turkey's 1923 unworkable constitutions, should we abide by "if a right is a right too many for Turkey's Kurdish community (circa 23% of population) then that right is a right too many for Cyprus' tCypriot community too (circa 15%), and vice versa." Is the adoption of this fair logic the catalyst to securing just solutions for both UN countries.