Sunday, August 14, 2011

Big mouth Cyprus!

We must all acknowledge the hopelessness of Turkey's and nationalist tCypriots' predicament. Energy has changed everything. The EU needs the Republic of Cyprus [RoC], which tCypriots abandoned in the '60s following some really bad advice from Turkey's then ultra nationalists, and thus regardless of Turkey's EU maneuvers, the EU and the west in general have no option but to side with legality and claim this new wealth of energy as "their own", thus not only contributing to the EU's ailing economy but also via securing an alternative energy route reducing non-NATO leverage on the alliance's members. This time around, because of energy, the west's backing will not be a middle of the road approach & will not shy from escaping the realm of verbal warnings.

Times have indeed changed. tCypriots have little luxury but to negotiate their way back to the RoC. As a matter of fact the only item on the agenda really is the seamless tCypriot reintegration into the RoC, which will be done on RoC terms, and which will borrow heavily from Makarios' 1963 ideas, adjusted to our EU reality. Let us not forget that the system works very well and led to Cyprus' success over the decades.

Alternatively, tCypriots may consider their lives as citizens of Ankara down the line. The good news for them is that should they find themselves in Ankara or Istanbul they will be members of the majority ethnic Turks, facing the demands of a circa 20% minority of Kurds. I am sure their wisdom will prove invaluable to ethnic Turks. Our deepest sympathies.

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Turkey's Kurds & Cyprus' tCypriots

As either unitary state or federation solutions are discussed as replacements to Cyprus' 1960 and Turkey's 1923 unworkable constitutions, should we abide by "if a right is a right too many for Turkey's Kurdish community (circa 23% of population) then that right is a right too many for Cyprus' tCypriot community too (circa 15%), and vice versa." Is the adoption of this fair logic the catalyst to securing just solutions for both UN countries.